Quick answer
Same model, every day, for over a year. 4-hour FVG + lower-timeframe SMT + 1-minute inversion. The setup doesn't change, only the day does. Boredom is the moat.
Introduction
People keep asking me what new model I'm running. I'm not running a new model. I've been running the same one for over a year. 4-hour FVG. Lower-timeframe SMT. 1-minute inversion. That's it. Same three pieces. Every single day.
This breakdown covers a morning trade I took on live with 70-80 people in the room. Same setup as every other breakdown I post, because the setup doesn't change. Only the day does.
“This is the setup. We've been trading this model for over a year now. I'm glad people are seeing the true power of it and how consistently it shows up.
”Kevin Dhesi · @dhesi_trades
The Bias Going In
Early morning, I was watching for a move into data highs on NQ as my buy-side target. We got strong displacement off the open. Two scenarios on the table:
- Scenario 1: 5-minute gap inverts, take the long immediately.
- Scenario 2: Rejection off the 5-min gap, SMT forms at the lows, take the inversion long off the dip.
I was hoping for scenario 2. The pieces had to fall in a specific order. We were inside a 4-hour FVG on ES. The higher timeframe was already in our favor. Just had to wait for the trigger.
The Trade Sequence
Pushed back up at 10:08, NQ left a low. Checked the other indices: YM had the same downside move, ES did not. ES held the prior low while NQ took it. Bullish SMT on the lower timeframe.
Now the 4H FVG was tagged, the SMT was confirmed, and I was waiting for the 1-minute inversion. NQ inverted the bearish gap. ES inverted the same gap on the same candle. Both indices flipped together. That's when I clicked.
Dhesi TradesThe Wait Is The Hard Part
After entering, the trade did nothing. People in chat got anxious. Dhesi, it's not moving from our entry. We need displacement.
You can't control any of that. You control when you take the setup. You control when you cut the loss. You don't control the candle that comes next. Once you're in, hands off. You're not getting smarter while in a trade.
Trim, Stop To BE, Let It Run
Eventually we got the displacement. Trimmed half on NQ at the first leg up. Moved my stop to break-even. Let the rest ride into the data highs. ES took out the data highs first. That was my exit signal on Apex; on TopStep I held for the full move.
Dhesi TradesThe Rules I Trade By
- Mark your higher timeframe PD array before the open. 4H FVG, daily inversion, hourly OB.
- Wait for the sweep of overnight or pre-market liquidity.
- Confirm SMT divergence on ES vs NQ (or YM on news days).
- Drop to 1-min. Both indices must flip the gap inverse on the same candle.
- Enter at the close of the displacement. Stop below the SMT.
- Target #1: nearest equal high/low. Target #2: data highs/lows.
- Trim half. Move to break-even. Hold runners.
- One trade. Maybe two. Then close the laptop.
When NOT To Run It
- No higher timeframe context. Never trade naked 1-minute inversions.
- No SMT. The divergence is the filter. Without it, you're guessing.
- One index inverts, the other doesn't. Skip. The model requires confirmation across both.
- You've hit two losses already. Two losses and I'm done. The setup will print again tomorrow.
- You're tilted. If you're trying to make back yesterday's loss, you're already losing today's trade. Walk away.
The Bottom Line
People want a new edge. A new model. Something nobody else knows. The truth is the opposite. The people who win trade the same setup, over and over, until they could draw it in their sleep.
I've been running this one for over a year. The setup doesn't get more sophisticated. The discipline gets more sophisticated. That's the entire game.
“This is the setup right here. Like I said, all my videos that I posted so far on this you guys notice it's the exact same setup repeating over and over and over and over and over again.
”Kevin Dhesi